Turkey vs United States

A contrarian value play. USA have already won Group D, so this final group game has nothing riding on it for them and that could shape how they approach it. Adams, Balogun, Richards and Robinson are all one booking away from a Round-of-32 suspension, so there's a real chance Pochettino rests some of them, and Pulisic (calf) may not be risked in a game that doesn't affect their standing. That points to a rotated, lower-stakes USA side. Turkey, meanwhile, are out - BUT they're playing for pride, and there's strong motivation in not wanting to go home pointless as one of the tournament's biggest disappointments. The market still has USA around 2.00; before the tournament you'd have happily taken these Turkey odds. Backing the underdog at 27¢, with the draw (23¢) as a safer double-chance angle.